久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

How to make sense of surprise rate cut by PBOC

By Zhou Lanxu | China Daily | Updated: 2022-08-22 09:18
Share
Share - WeChat
The headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing. [Photo/IC]

If I have to pick the most interesting macroeconomic topic this year, my first choice would be the divergence between the monetary policies of the world's two biggest economies.

The US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by as much as 225 basis points since March to rein in runaway inflation that's hovering around a 40-year high.

In contrast, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, has maintained an accommodative stance, with the country's broad money supply, or M2, up 12 percent year-on-year as at the end of July.

The divergence came into sharper relief last week when the PBOC cut a key policy rate to support economic recovery.

The PBOC conducted 400 billion yuan ($58.89 billion) in medium-term lending facility operations on Aug 15 at an interest rate of 2.75 percent, down from 2.85 percent a month earlier.

Not only has the rate cut surprised most market participants, but marked the PBOC's first-ever policy rate cut amid the Fed's rate hike cycles, according to a report from Sealand Securities.

Theory and practice have shown the Fed's rate hikes can tighten global liquidity and pile the pressures of capital outflow and currency depreciation on emerging markets, keeping them from monetary easing, which could intensify such pressures.

So, how come the PBOC has chosen the seemingly risky rate cut at a time when the Fed is in its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades?

First of all, stable economic growth acts as the fundamental support for the stability of cross-border capital flows, given that mid- to long-term asset returns still depend on economic development prospects.

This rationale finds evidence in China's A-share market. Data compiled by China International Capital Corp, or CICC, showed northbound trading of the connect programs between the mainland and Hong Kong exchanges saw nearly 80 billion yuan in net capital inflows in June, the highest figure so far this year.

Analysts at CICC attributed the rise in inflows to market confidence in China's economic recovery strengthened by the reduction in the over-five-year loan prime rate in May, a market-driven benchmark on which lenders base their mortgage rates.

Second, as China's steady supply capacity stands out in a shattered global industrial chain and meets the global demand for goods, its strong trade surplus has underpinned the exchange rate of the yuan and helped offset the pressure of capital outflows.

China's trade surplus in goods surged by 36 percent year-on-year to $320.7 billion in the first half, the highest reading on record for the same period, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said.

Indeed, the onshore exchange rate of the yuan against the dollar weakened to around 6.79 on Tuesday following the rate cut, but it has gained a firmer footing on Wednesday at around 6.77, still performing within a reasonable range.

The above possible justifications for the PBOC's rate cut not only feed one's curiosity, but can provide clues to the central bank's policy-setting in the rest of the year.

The pressure imposed by Fed's tightening may not stop the PBOC's easing moves as long as domestic economic data point to the need for more support while the country's international payments stay generally stable.

This could be particularly true as the Fed may slow down rate hikes with the US inflationary pressure having shown signs of mitigation in July.

As the PBOC said in its second-quarter monetary policy report, it will still take domestic factors as the dominant determinants in policy-setting, while keeping a close eye on the spillover effects of the economic situation and monetary policy adjustments in developed economies.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 2022国内精品免费福利视频 | 日本一级高清不卡视频在线 | 欧美日韩一区二区三区在线 | 成年人在线看片 | 国产黄a三级三级三级 | 777色狠狠一区二区三区 | 91亚洲人成手机在线观看 | 亚洲精品高清久久 | 国产精品日韩一区二区三区 | 久久国产精品视频 | 免费岛国小视频在线观看 | 男女配种猛烈免费视频 | 国产玖玖玖精品视频 | 中美日韩在线网免费毛片视频 | 亚洲一区二区三区一品精 | 欧美一级在线观看视频 | 久久在线 | 国产成人女人视频在线观看 | 久久99亚洲精品久久频 | 国产精品成aⅴ人片在线观看 | 欧美日韩色 | 成人免费在线 | 手机看片免费基地你懂的 | 亚洲精品资源在线 | 99久久综合给久久精品 | 欧美一区二区三区不卡免费观看 | 国产亚洲人成网站在线观看 | 久久精品国产一区二区三区 | 精品一区二区三区免费爱 | 成人国产精品毛片 | 成人免费在线播放 | 亚洲国产精品欧美日韩一区二区 | 精品视频久久 | 日本欧美三级 | 在线欧美日韩精品一区二区 | 怡红院免费全部视频在线视频 | α片毛片 | 大片国产片日本观看免费视频 | 免费又黄又爽又猛大片午夜 | 一级aaaaaa毛片免费同男同女 | 乱子伦农村xxxx视频 |