久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Flexible H2 money policy foreseen

Despite weaker-than-expected Q2 data, hopes rise for cuts to rates, RRR

By ZHOU LANXU | CHINA DAILY | Updated: 2024-07-16 09:15
Share
Share - WeChat
A woman shows banknotes and coins included in the 2019 edition of the fifth series of the renminbi. [Photo/Xinhua]

China's monetary policy is likely to stay accommodative in the second half of the year as the latest economic and financial indicators point to the need for further policy support while growing expectations of US interest rate cuts create more room for easing, market analysts said on Monday.

They said there is quite a strong possibility of cuts to both loan interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio — the amount of deposits that banks must keep as reserve — in the rest of the year.

On Monday, China unveiled its first-half economic growth figure of 5 percent year-on-year, in line with the country's GDP growth target for the full year. However, the country's second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.7 percent, lower than expectations and down from 5.3 percent in the first quarter.

Financial data also pointed to tepid credit demand. The increment in aggregate social financing — the total amount of financing to the real economy — stood at 18.1 trillion yuan ($2.49 trillion) in the first half, down by 3.45 trillion yuan compared with the same period last year, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, said on Friday.

"The issue of insufficient domestic demand turned prominent in the second quarter, as residential consumption and private investment performed anemically amid a continuous adjustment of the real estate sector," said Wang Qing, chief macroeconomic analyst at Golden Credit Rating International.

"With that, policymakers are expected to intensify growth stabilization efforts in the second half, and there is room for cuts to both interest rates and the RRR," Wang said.

An improving external policy environment may also gradually expand the scope for cutting the policy benchmarks of interest rates, especially the rate of seven-day reverse repos (currently at 1.8 percent), said Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities.

The PBOC kept a policy benchmark of interest rates — the one-year medium-term lending facility rate — unchanged at 2.5 percent on Monday. This followed the offshore renminbi plumbing the 7.31 mark against the US dollar earlier this month as delayed US interest rate cuts kept the greenback strong.

The expectation of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates within the year has grown stronger after the US consumer price index for June increased slower than expected, Ming said. "The possibility of a reduction in loan prime rates deserves attention against this backdrop."

The loan prime rates are China's market-based lending rate benchmarks.

The one-year LPR has stayed unchanged since August at 3.45 percent and the over-five-year LPR stood at 3.95 percent for five consecutive months as of June.

The PBOC vowed at a meeting late last month that it will unleash the effectiveness of the LPR system and a market-based mechanism of deposit rate adjustments to reduce financing costs for enterprises and households, as part of its efforts to focus more on easing cyclical downward economic pressures.

Lou Feipeng, a researcher at Postal Savings Bank of China, said factors that have kept the PBOC from cutting interest rates this year include commercial banks' low net interest margin, a strong US dollar and the central bank's intention to keep long-term government bond yields from dropping too fast.

"As some of the constraints abate, the possibility of cutting the interest rates and the RRR in the third quarter is rising," Lou said.

Lou further said that if the PBOC implements an interest rate cut, it can reduce the RRR at the same time to provide long-term low-cost funding to commercial banks, which will help ease their pressures of narrowing net interest rate margins — the difference between the interest income they earn and interest they pay.

Meanwhile, the new tool of overnight repos, which withdraws short-term liquidity from the banking system, can be used simultaneously to prevent an excessive supply of liquidity, he said.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩国产午夜一区二区三区 | 欧美精品久久久久久久影视 | 99久久99久久久99精品齐 | 99久久精品国产一区二区三区 | 亚洲国产精品一区二区三区 | 国产美女作爱视频 | 免费久| 欧美视频一区二区三区在线观看 | 69xxx·com| 亚洲成在人线久久综合 | 久草国产在线 | 一级做a毛片免费视频 | 免费中文字幕 | 中文字幕国产一区 | 亚洲精品久久一区毛片 | 欧美.亚洲.日本一区二区三区 | 在线视频自拍 | 亚洲网视频 | 国产精品久久毛片蜜月 | 国产一区影视 | 亚洲欧美日本国产综合在线 | 99九九成人免费视频精品 | 日韩综合网站 | 精品国产三级在线观看 | 欧美成人精品手机在线观看 | 国产日产韩产麻豆1区 | 久久久久综合一本久道 | 欧美天堂 | 免费黄网大全 | 日本乱理伦中文三区 | 99热碰| 中国精品视频一区二区三区 | 亚洲视频在线观 | 伊人爱爱网 | 99免费在线 | 国产日产亚洲系列首页 | 午夜伦y4480影院中文字幕 | 尤物tv已满18点击进入 | 亚洲日本久久一区二区va | 欧美一区二区三区高清视频 | 美国一级毛片不卡无毒 |