久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

China enters slow-growth era

By Andrew Moody (China Daily) Updated: 2014-10-27 07:43

One of the challenges for China if it is trying to engineer a slowdown is whether it can achieve it without sending the rest of the world into recession and then being impacted itself again in second-round effects by the resultant fall in global demand.

Ballin at Standard Bank Group believes this is something Chinese policymakers will be very much aware of.

"There are these risks of a downward spiral. You can't just see this in terms of an isolated GDP growth decline. China is so much now integrated into the global supply chain so there is a synchronicity of risk to any slowdown," he says.

Zhu at the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance believes there is less of a risk of this than there was five years ago when in the wake of the financial crisis the world was completely reliant on China demand.

"You can't rule out the risk of a downward spiral since China remains so important. What the world needs, however, is a China soft landing rather than a hard one. This relatively stable decline in growth that we are seeing reduces the possibility of a crash, which was what everybody feared.

"We have also moved into a situation where it is not just China contributing to global growth although it remains very significant but also the so-called frontier economies of Indonesia, Pakistan and Turkey, which gives greater scope for China to slow without destabilizing the world economy."

For Power at Investec, the real threat to global growth comes from Europe itself and not China as has been made clear by all the worrying data of the past fortnight that has created turmoil on global stock markets.

"We are now seeing Germany moving into negative growth and the whole problem with the eurozone countries. I think we are also going to see an end to the so-called German export miracle," he says.

"The Chinese are beginning to reverse engineer some of the capital goods they have been sold by the Germans such as magnetic trains. I think the US will begin to start to lose its competitive advantages, too within three to five years and we will move to a situation where there is more creativity coming from Asia."

For the moment, there is going to be increasing interest in the growth data coming out of China.

Evans-Pritchard at Capital Economics says it is often too easy to be bearish about China.

"I think a lot of people were too pessimistic after the very weak data we had in August. The latest growth figure therefore was not as bad as some people had expected," he says.

Kuijs at RBS believes the Chinese government is still very much weighing up all the options as to what growth level it wants the economy to achieve.

"I think they are still making up their mind as to how far to let this process go. I think there, however, still remains an element of ambition about achieving a certain minimum level of growth. I think that is why we are all still wondering what the growth target for next year and beyond will eventually be."

China enters slow-growth era

China enters slow-growth era

 Flash PMI for Oct brings cheer  Study: More US firms shift work back home

 

Previous Page 1 2 3 4 Next Page

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91精品欧美综合在线观看 | 国产一区二区三区国产精品 | 男女乱淫真视频免费观看 | 久久国内精品视频 | 国内精品免费一区二区观看 | 综合 欧美 亚洲日本 | 91久久福利国产成人精品 | 国产网站免费视频 | 亚洲日本欧美在线 | 亚洲国产成人久久综合一 | 久久国产成人精品麻豆 | 国产香蕉国产精品偷在线观看 | 久久精品国产影库免费看 | 日本一区毛片免费观看 | 一级做a爰片久久毛片看看 一级做a爰片久久毛片鸭王 | 毛片免费全部播放一级 | 国产三级精品久久三级国专区 | 久久精品一区二区免费看 | 亚洲综合无码一区二区 | 久久成| 在线视频久久 | 精品国产综合成人亚洲区 | 99视频国产在线 | 国产欧美亚洲三区久在线观看 | 麻豆视频一区 | 77yyxf影音先锋| 日韩欧美一级毛片在线 | 中文一级国产特级毛片视频 | 日韩精品久久久免费观看夜色 | 色综合91久久精品中文字幕 | 欧美一级黄色毛片 | 国产欧美精品综合一区 | 99精品国产在现线免费 | 国产成人刺激视频在线观看 | 香港三级日本三级妇人三级 | 亚洲国产精品第一区二区三区 | 欧美日韩国产免费一区二区三区 | 国产福利一区二区在线精品 | 国产一及片 | 手机在线免费毛片 | 成年美女黄网站色大 |