久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
China / Society

Low birth-rate to drag down industry

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2015-10-23 07:52

Wang Yuan, a teacher in a township kindergarten in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province, is ideally placed to witness the fall in China's birth-rate.

Five years ago, she recalled that there were about 40 children per class. Now, Wang said there are just 30 in the class for 5-year-olds and about 20 in the class for 4-year-olds. The figure is just 10 for the class of 3-year-olds.

This sort of anecdotal evidence is being backed up by hard statistics. By the end of last year, there were 225 million Chinese who were 14 years old or younger, which was 16.5 percent of the total population.

That was slightly down from 2011 when the country's sixth national census found the ratio was 16.6 percent. But that number was considerable less than the 22.89 percent in 2000 when the fifth census was released.

According to the global consensus, a country with 15 to 18 percent of its population at 14 years old or younger is considered a "severe low-birth rate society".

Naturally, the figures have triggered a debate in China. Academics, including Mu Guangzong and Liang Jianzhang of Peking University, and Yi Fuxian of Wisconsin University, have argued that the family planning policy must be stopped immediately.

In fact, they say, the government should roll out a "population revival" scheme to avoid China falling into a low birth-rate trap.

"Nursing subsidies should be handed out to couples having more than one child," Mu said. "Other benefits should include longer maternity leave for parents, and easier access to education and health services. Having two children would be good, but three would be even better."

Already the country's aging population is having a huge impact on industry.

Last year, the labor force continued to contract with the working population of 15 to 59-year-olds down 0.6 percent, according to National Bureau of Statistics.

Even the number of migrant workers was static in the first nine months of this year from 1.9 percent growth in 2014 and 2.4 percent growth in 2013.

Low birth-rate to drag down industry

Shortages in the work force have already been felt in key industrial cities on the Chinese coast. In the eastern city of Zhangjiagang, home to China's largest privately owned steel mills in Jiangsu province, migrant workers and their families make up more than 40 percent of the population, according to Yao Linrong, a leading city official.

When asked what was Zhangjiagang's greatest challenge in the next five years, Yao replied: "It has to be population. We need a stable population to keep the economy growing."

At the Yonggang Group, the second largest privately owned steel maker in the country, only a few of its workers are "local" even though the company generated 35 billion yuan ($5.5 billion) in revenue last year.

Nationally, the picture is just as grim. China's total fertility rate has fallen to 1.4, well below 2.1 minimum required to replace an aging population. If that trend continues, the population will shrink by 36 percent in a generation, experts said.

Many regions face even lower birth rates. Shanghai, for example, has the lowest TFR of 0.86 for the last-decade, while the sixth census found that the northeastern region had a rate barely above 1.

Last year, the government allowed couples to have a second child if either of them is the single child in their family. Of the 11 million couples eligible to have a second child, only 1.45 million nationwide have applied for permission.

Ed Zhang contributed to this story.

Highlights
Hot Topics
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久久www免费看片 久久久www免费人成看片 | 成 人 动漫在线观看网站网站 | 九草在线| 91热久久免费频精品黑人99 | 高清不卡毛片 | 国产成人在线小视频 | 中文成人在线 | 特黄特黄一级高清免费大片 | 亚洲一级免费视频 | 国产成人a一区二区 | 亚洲理论在线观看 | 国产成人精品aaaa视频一区 | 日韩欧美印度一级毛片 | a级男女性高爱潮高清试 | 亚洲精品免费在线观看 | 一个人看的www片免费视频中文 | 一级做α爱过程免费视频 | 欧美一区二区三区四区在线观看 | 特级淫片日本高清视频 | 美女黄页网站 | 91热在线观看精品 | 亚洲人成亚洲精品 | 欧美精品一区二区在线观看播放 | xx毛片| 欧美精品一区二区精品久久 | 国产va精品网站精品网站精品 | 日韩中文字幕精品 | 在线亚洲精品国产波多野结衣 | 免费一级片网站 | 日本一级高清片免费 | 久久免费看视频 | 欧美成人午夜毛片免费影院 | 操欧美女 | 国产精品亚洲综合天堂夜夜 | 欧美一级视频在线高清观看 | 97国产精品视频观看一 | 久久精品99毛片免费 | 精品玖玖玖视频在线观看 | 欧美一级毛片特黄大 | 亚洲a级 | 久久99爰这里有精品国产 |