久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Asian markets ready for taper

By Syetarn Hansakul (China Daily) Updated: 2014-02-24 08:11

The US Federal Reserve has begun tapering its quantitative easing policy. The Fed started "tapering" or paring its bond buying in December and cut its monthly bond purchases further in January to $65 billion.

Thus far, emerging economies in Asia have taken the QE tapering in their stride. Financial markets in Asia reacted much more negatively to the fears of tapering in mid-2013 compared to the actual start of tapering. The impact of the summer "taper tantrum" was particularly acute for India and Indonesia, leading to a fall in asset prices and dampening the growth outlook in those two economies. Nevertheless, neither country - nor any other emerging economy in Asia - had a systemic crisis.

This is due not least to the fact that the fundamentals of Asia's emerging economies are now much healthier that they were in the 1990s. Debt denominated in local currencies is more common today, thus foreign exchange depreciation causes less harm to domestic balance sheets. Most economies have large foreign exchange reserves and overall comfortable foreign exchange liquidity to serve their external financing needs. External debts are better structured and less vulnerable to external shocks. And bilateral as well as multilateral agreements for currency swap facilities are in place, mitigating risks.

Since the tapering of QE began, currencies of Asia's emerging economies have held up and some stock markets (in Southeast Asia and Shanghai) have even chalked up gains from the end of 2013. Despite the benign start, vulnerabilities in Asia's emerging markets remain and potential pitfalls should be recognized and avoided.

The most crucial factor in meeting the QE tapering challenge will be preserving investor confidence in Asia's emerging markets by striking a balance between growth and macroeconomic stability with consistent policies and clear market communication. Experts seem to agree that the Fed stimulus is likely to remain substantial and the QE tapering will progress at a moderate pace in 2014, with global interest rates staying low for a while longer.

In such a situation, emerging economies in Asia on the whole should be able to cope with the QE tapering without major disruptions. However, any signal that tapering could be faster than anticipated could stoke another round of rapid and large capital outflows from emerging markets, raising risks for financial asset prices and exchange rates in Asia's emerging markets with wider impact on the economy and creditworthiness of borrowers.

As tapering of QE will tighten liquidity and raise the cost of funds, Asia's emerging markets with twin deficits - India, Indonesia, Thailand, Pakistan and Sri Lanka - could be the most challenged from the prospect of higher borrowing costs. Those that have a higher percentage of foreign investors in their capital markets - Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and the Republic of Korea - will be more vulnerable to a sudden change in portfolio fund flows, raising risks to financial stability in terms of exchange rate and interest rate volatility.

Since consistent policy and clear market communication is essential, domestic capital markets that can efficiently intermediate between domestic savings and investment needs will play an even more significant role. Therefore, steps to improve transparency and good governance will be essential to enhance investors' confidence.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed Today's Top News
New type of urbanization is in the details
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久精品国产亚洲片 | 日韩美女爱爱 | 多人伦精品一区二区三区视频 | 久爱www免费人成福利播放 | 国内自拍2020 | 久草在线在线观看 | 日韩精品一区二区三区四区 | 美日韩一区二区三区 | 欧美专区一区二区三区 | 久久91这里精品国产2020 | 国内精品久久久久久影院8f | 久久久久综合一本久道 | 一区二区三区在线 | 欧 | 久久久影院亚洲精品 | 三级色网站 | 美女扒开腿让男人桶 | 日本老熟妇激情毛片 | 亚洲精品在线免费观看视频 | 一区二区三区四区免费视频 | 在线免费视频 | 精品一区二区三区中文 | 成人毛片在线视频 | 东莞a级毛片 | 成人在线免费视频 | 视频精品一区二区三区 | 成人做爰视频www在线观看 | 欧美综合一区二区三区 | 亚洲人成亚洲精品 | 亚洲精品国产一区二区在线 | 三级黄色在线观看 | 午夜三级网 | 国产成年女一区二区三区 | 久久久免费 | 99久久精品国产一区二区成人 | 成人a网站 | 免费一级网站 | 亚洲久久视频 | 久久久精品免费热线观看 | 韩国一级毛片在线观看 | 手机在线观看一级午夜片 | 亚洲欧美一区二区三区孕妇 |