久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
World / Europe

Europe's central bank weighs anti-deflation steps

(Agencies) Updated: 2014-06-05 10:10

FRANKFURT, Germany - The European Central Bank is all but certain Thursday to cut interest rates to try to boost ultra-low inflation and strengthen the wobbly recovery in the 18 countries that use the euro.

Analysts say the bank might take its stimulus efforts farther and announce extraordinary steps to get credit moving to struggling businesses.

The ECB has been under pressure to act, especially after a report this week showed that inflation in the eurozone dropped more than expected last month to 0.5 percent - further evidence of a slack economy.

Excessively low inflation, if it persists, could become a serious economic threat. It could cause businesses and individuals to delay spending indefinitely as they await ever-lower prices. It could also make it harder for companies and countries to pare their heavy debt loads left over from the eurozone's financial crisis.

The ECB maintains a target inflation rate for the eurozone of just below 2 percent. Fears have arisen that the continent's excessively low inflation could slip into deflation - an outright fall in prices. Deflation can stall an economy, as it did in Japan for much of the past two decades.

It's a trap that's hard to escape, which helps explain why Mario Draghi, the ECB's president, has strongly hinted that the central bank will take unusual action this week.

Waning energy prices and a strong euro, which has reduced prices of imports, have been blamed for much of the fall in inflation. In countries such as Greece, whose government has held back government spending and state salaries in return for bailout loans from other countries, falling prices have been a consequence of official policies.

Here are some of the tools the ECB's 24-member governing council could decide to use at the meeting in Frankfurt, Germany.

Rate Cut

Most analysts think a cut in the bank's interest benchmark, the refinancing rate, from its current record low of 0.25 percent is a near certainty. That's the rate at which banks can borrow from the ECB. It heavily influences market rates at which banks lend to each other.

If banks pass on those lower rates to customers, a cut in the refinancing rate can mean lower borrowing costs across the economy. It's already very low, so another cut might only bring marginal help. With eurozone growth at only 0.2 percent in the first quarter, any help however is welcome.

Perhaps the biggest help from rate cuts would be holding down the euro's exchange rate against the dollar. Lower rates reduce investor returns, and thus can reduce demand for investments in a particular currency. Draghi's statement May 8 that the bank was "not resigned" to the current low inflation and was "comfortable" taking action in June made markets think a rate cut was a sure thing - and sent the euro down from 2 { year highs around $1.40 to around $1.36.

In fact, markets have gone so far they may have set themselves up for disappointment.

Holger Schmieding at Berenberg Bank said a rate cut on its own "without any further initiative could be a negative surprise." Markets, he added, "may then partly erase the moves of the past four weeks."

Going Negative

A further, and more unusual step, would be a negative interest rate for excess funds that banks deposit at the ECB. Currently the rate is zero. The idea is, a negative rate of, say, 0.1 percent, could push banks to lend that money instead of stashing it away. Yet the consequences are unpredictable. It could burden bank finances at a time when the ECB is pushing banks to shed bad loans and assets and strengthen their finances.

Big Bazooka

Many economists have said pumping large amounts of newly created money into the financial system through large-scale bond purchases is the best way to reflate the economy. After all, that is what the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England did.

However, it's considered the least likely. The measure faces legal, political and practical obstacles in an 18-country currency union. For one, buying government bonds raises the question of whose bonds to buy. A massive bond market intervention could lower borrowing costs - but most companies in Europe get credit from banks, not bond sales.

Keep Talk

At his news conference Draghi may hold the door open for more stimulus measures down the road if they're needed - especially if the bank stops short of measures beyond a rate cut. Much may then depend on how convincing he is.

Trudeau visits Sina Weibo
May gets little gasp as EU extends deadline for sufficient progress in Brexit talks
Ethiopian FM urges strengthened Ethiopia-China ties
Yemen's ex-president Saleh, relatives killed by Houthis
Most Popular
Hot Topics

...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩久久一区二区三区 | 久久久一本 | 在线看日韩 | 亚洲欧美另类色妞网站 | 久久精品国产欧美日韩99热 | 韩国一级淫片视频免费播放 | 精品一区二区三区中文字幕 | 日韩99| 巨大热杵在腿间进进出出视频 | 色久在线 | 久热精品6 | 毛片免费看网站 | 欧美精品专区免费观看 | 91精品国产高清久久久久久io | 成人免费a视频 | 国产特黄一级一片免费 | 国产激情一区二区三区四区 | 亚洲天堂视频在线观看免费 | 国产综合亚洲专区在线 | 永久毛片 | 久久久久久久久久免免费精品 | 最新亚洲精品国自产在线观看 | 高清一区二区三区免费 | 亚洲视频一区二区三区 | 在线播放国产真实女同事 | 香港经典a毛片免费观看爽爽影院 | 青青青青爽视频在线播放 | 色黄啪啪18周岁以下禁止观看 | 经典国产乱子伦精品视频 | 久久精品国产亚洲欧美 | 韩日毛片 | 日本欧美一区二区三区片 | 国产高清在线精品 | 久热香蕉在线视频 | 国产免费黄视频 | 在线亚洲日产一区二区 | 国产亚洲精品一区二区久久 | 欧美一级片在线看 | 91麻精品国产91久久久久 | 欧美日韩视频一区二区 | 成人18免费入口 |